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ORX Scenarios Community Discussions: Applications of the bow-tie approach and an update on AI-related risk scenarios

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The September Scenarios Working Group sessions explored the use of the bow-tie model to enhance, visualise, and explain scenario components and outputs, with a subscriber sharing their vision for how it can be applied to help address common challenges in the scenario process. 

The sessions also provided an opportunity for an update from the community on how AI risks are manifesting across scenario portfolios, particularly in light of recent frontier AI developments. 

In this article, we summarise the key discussion points across both topics, including how the industry is tackling typical challenges and refining their current approaches. 

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